Why The Keys To The White House Poll Is Wrong

 

 

Is this who you are voting for?
Biden and Harris say, "Talk To The Hand".
This is a funny cartoon but these characters are evil and lie about everything.

 

 

Editor Note:

 

After you have seen or heard a commercial about buying stocks there is always a disclaimer.

 

"Past performance is not a prediction of future results."

 

The latest  professor Allen Lichtman keys to the white house poll should have the above disclaimer but instead uses his past correct predictions as a precursor for his 2020 keys to the white house Presidential final results poll.

Whatever happens on Nov 3, 2020 there will be riots in democrate majority locations around the nation. These riots will continue until the democrates see their FAKE resistance is  FUTILE  because of President Trump's reelection. Blue state democrate operatives will begin to see the writing on the wall and act more responsible because they must in the face of President Trump's election victory.

Key	Topic	Threshold condition
1	Party Mandate	After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats inthe U.S. House of Representatives than it did after the previousmidterm elections.
2	Contest	There is no serious contest for the incumbent-party nomination.
3	Incumbency	The incumbent-party candidate is the sitting president.
4	Third party	There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5	Short-term economy	The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6	Long-term economy	Real per-capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7	Policy change	The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8	Social unrest	There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9	Scandal	The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10	Foreign/military    failure	The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11	Foreign/military    success	The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12	Incumbent charisma	The incumbent-party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13	Challenger charisma	The challenging-party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

Keys 11 and 12 are wrong. in the professor's poll.

 

Five keys are false, not seven, meaning  the threshold condition  favors the re-election of President Trump.

Key 11 is incorrect because President Trump has achieved major success in foreign and military affairs.

Key 12 is also incorrect because President Trump is charismatic and is a national hero as opposed to Biden who is not.

The professor is wrong this time because he has incorrectly added two keys to his 2020 poll.

Each key can then be assessed as true or false prior to an upcoming election and the winner predicted according to a simple decision rule. Unlike other systems for predicting election results, the Keys do not assume a fixed relationship between election results and one more dependent variables, such as economic growth or presidential approval ratings.

Rather predictions are based on an index comprised of the number of false or negative keys: When five or fewer keys are false, the incumbent party wins; when any six or more are false, the challenging party wins.

5 keys are false meaning if this poll was corrected President Trump will win the 2020 Presidential Election.

 

The components of the pollvote.com prediction poll were hard to find on their website.

If you go to pollyvote.com  THIS PAGE IS HARD TO FIND

The components are the bread and butter of the poll prediction.

Bonus Editor Note

Let me add some more "keys" to the professor's 2020 election prediction poll he should have included to correctly predict the result of the 2020 Presidential election.

MAGA Presidential Election  Poll 2020

 

This is not only my belief but my prediction. President Trump will win the 2020 Presidential Election by 4.7% or more.

If I am correct this would mean that my prediction MAGA POLL would be the most accurate Presidential poll in 2020.

I base my MAGA poll on several other factors or "keys" as professor Allen Lichtman calls them.

The professor admits the outcome of his poll could be wrong because of  "unknown factors".

My own MAGA Presidential Election Poll 2020 INCLUDES the "unknown factors" the professor did NOT include in his keys to the white house poll.

I have added more keys for a much better prediction result for the 2020 Presidential election.

(1) Enough people know the facade is senile and not capable of being President.   -1 Sleepy Joe

(2) Democrates will cause people in lockdown states to vote for President Trump. +1 Trump

(3) The facade is fading because of the facade's corruption news that is being suppressed by "the real candidate - the FAKE NEWS".   -1 Sleepy Joe

(4) Democrates efforts to steal the Presidential election will fail in spite of all their efforts.  -1 Sleepy Joe

(5) People in this election year are voting more than ever, the majority for President Trump.  +1 Trump

(6) President Trump is very popular vs "the facade - Joe Biden" who can't draw flies!  +1 Trump

(7) Black rappers are supporting President Trump increasing the black vote for Trump in 2020.  -1 Sleepy Joe

(8) People are afraid in blue democrate states and will vote for President Trump.   -1 Sleepy Joe

(9) Looting and rioting produce more voters for President Trump.  +1 Trump

(10) The elephant in the room is THE ECONOMY.  It is rebouding faster than the democrates can stop in spite of lockdowns.
        +1 Trump

(11) twitter and facebook actually helped the Trump campaign because of their suppression of the facade's son hunter biden's corrupt, criminal activities for the facade, better known as the big guy - joe biden.  -1 Sleepy Joe

(12)  Amy Coney Barrett, New Supreme Court Justice,  IS the TRUMP Card in the 2020 Presidential Election!  +1 Trump

So here is the final total of the "keys" that INCLUDE "unknown factors" the professor did NOTtake into consideration in his keys to the white house 2020 poll.

President Trump 14 positive "keys".

Slo Joe 11 negative "keys".

The professor said when 6 or more "keys" are negative - false  the incumbent party wins.

Out of the combined, revised  and more accurate presidential keys poll total of 25 keys, Slo Joe is predicted to LOSE THE ELECTION!

 

 

 

Bonus Extra Bonus Editor Note

 

Joe Biden is relying on the FAKE news media, the covid-19 crisis and ballot voting corruption to get elected.

President Trump is relying on WE THE PEOPLE to get elected.

 

My revised keys to the white house poll does not take into account the legal challenges  to the popular votes in various states.

If I did take this into account I would add a +1 to the positive election result for President Trump because when these challenges arrive at the Supreme Court Amy Barrett will vote in favor of President Trump because she is honest and goes by the US Constitution.

This means lower courts who have ruled against President Trump, by writing their own law, will be overruled.

 

The unlikely outcome of the 2020 Presidential election.  Read below.

If, God forbid, the democrates win a majority in the US Senate along with the US House Of Representatives, they will make sure Slo Joe gets the majority of electorial votes when they are counted on Jan 6, 2021.

How?

It takes just 1 House member and 1 Senate member to contest a states electorial vote.

On Jan 6, 2021 if the democrates have a majority of house and senate members that were sworn in on Jan 3, 2021 - when a joint session of congress meets to count the electorial votes demonocrates will contest enough of Republican electorial votes to have them thrown out and not counted.

Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are then officially elected by the demonocates in the majority.

I predict if this happens and the American people witness the stealing of their electorial votes  there will be rioting that will make antifa and blm seem non violent protests!

America is really LOCKED AND LOADED. Ammo and certain weapons are hard to find.

Patriots will fight as will the democrate parties terrorist groups antifia and BLM etc.

So from approximately Jan 6, plus of minus 4 or 5 days if its dragged out, to Jan 20, 2021  and after the Presidential Inauguration and swearing in, the civil unrest will be horrific in many areas especially democratic blue states.

These democrate controlled blue states will crack down on patriots and aid antifia/BLM. Also it will happen in non blue states but to a lessor extent because antifia and BLM will be confronted by patriots across the nation in resistance.

Of course this will result in the deployment of the national guard, US Military and heavy hand of the new dictatorship.

Not only will the national guard be deployed but I predict the US Military will be used by Joe Biden and Kamala Harris to insure their stolen election is secure.

How many in the National Guard or US Military will obey unlawful orders?  I suspect many will.

American Patriots and others, possibly people in the military, who witness the stolen election will resist until justice is complete.

The top brass of the military has been corrupted by obama and the deep state. The rank and file has not been as corrupted therefore their is hope.

This of course would be a nightmare and would make the US vulnerable to attack by more enemies of the US Constitution and WE THE PEOPLE.

I really don't think this nightmare scenario will happen. It is a very slim possibility.

Keep this in mind. 

If President Trump wins a very large majority of electorial votes and the Republicans win a majority in the US Senate again the litigation will not prevent President Trump from being President for 4 more years!

If the 2020 Presidential election is close we are in for a ride until Jan 6, 2021.

If the demoncrates win a house and senate majority we are in for a bad trip long after Jan 6, 2021.

Joe Biden said we are in for a "dark winter." People think he was talking about covid-19 but he was really talking about a dark winter if he stole the election along with, hah, hha, hee, hee, hee Kamala Harris. 

Hard Boiled Egg Calculator    (Includes Kamala Harris Cackle Button.)   Biden and Harris are two rotten eggs to avoid.

 

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The 2020 Martix Election

 

 

 

Demonocate Blue Pill.   Republican Red Pill.   

If you are a democrate will you continue to take the "blue pill" or will you take the "red pill".

 

The terms "red pill" and blue pill" refer to a choice between revealing an unpleasant truth, represented by the red pill, and remaining in blissful ignorance, represented by the blue pill. The terms reference the 1999 film The Matrix.

 

 https://spectator.org/matrix-election-letters-to-editor/

 

 

In 2016, as the presidential election approached, a patriot wrote an essay calling that election the Flight 93 election. He gave it that name because it afforded a nation captive to a corrupt elite the opportunity to take control of its own destiny. We chose to take control of our destiny, and the present struggle began with the ousted elite determined to rule or ruin by any means necessary.

Just as 2016’s was the Flight 93 election, this year’s is the Matrix election.

 

We can choose liberty, or we can choose a reality simulated by the government, the mainstream media, and the likes of Twitter and Facebook. Faced with a similar choice, Patrick Henry, one of our forefathers, said, “Give me liberty or give me death.” To paraphrase him, is life so dear and peace so sweet that we are willing to elect a candidate purchased by our mortal enemy, the Chinese Communist Party? As Patrick Henry said, “Forbid it, Almighty God!”