Dr. Birx Admits Initial Coronavirus COVID-19 Predictions Were Exaggerated
The pandemic is actually a manufactured DEM PANIC that have caused the US economy to tank.
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Don't watch the fake media reporting on President Trump news conferences.
The fake news media is starting to cut out of President Trump's news conferences when he begins to quote actual corona virus death rates which are much lower than the fake news media is reporting.
These death rates will continue to go down as the corona virus testing ramps up.
The fake news media doesn't want you to know the truth about the corona virus.
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While answering questions with President Trump and the rest of the White House coronavirus task force, Dr. Birx admitted that the initial death estimates were too extreme.
The initial death rate estimates about coron virus covad-19 were wrong and misleading.
Half of those in the UK have already had the corona virus and don't even know it.
Many in the United States have had it also and don't even know it.
Case increase statistics about the corona virus are totally meaningless!
Oxford Model: Coronavirus May Have Already Infected Half of U.K. Population
Oxford Study: Coronavirus May Have Already Infected Half of U.K.
And people in the UK don't know they have already had the Corona Virus!
Because testing regimens across the world have varied tremendously, the actual
mortality and hospitalization rates of COVID-19 have been hard to pin
down.
But modeling by researchers at the University of Oxford could provide some welcome good news. Accorording to hypothetical modeling from Oxford’s Evolutionary Ecology of Infectious Disease lab, half of the population of the United Kingdom may have already been infected with the coronavirus.
mortality and hospitalization rates of COVID-19 have been hard to pin
down.
But modeling by researchers at the University of Oxford could provide some welcome good news. Accorording to hypothetical modeling from Oxford’s Evolutionary Ecology of Infectious Disease lab, half of the population of the United Kingdom may have already been infected with the coronavirus.
If this modeling is confirmed in follow-up studies, that a minuscule number of those infected require hospital treatment, with a majority showing very minor symptoms, or none at all.
According to the mathematical modeling concerning the 0.1 percent scenario, the coronavirus arrived in mid-January at the latest, and spread undetected for over a month before the first cases were
confirmed. Based on a susceptibility-infected-recovery model — a
commonly used estimate in epidemiology — with data from case and death reports in the U.K. and Italy, the researchers determined that the initial “herd immunity” strategy of the U.K. government could have been sound.
To see if their math checks out, the Oxford team is now working with researchers at the Universities of Cambridge and Kent to begin antibody testing as soon as this week. “We need immediately to begin large-scale serological surveys — antibody testing — to assess what stage of the epidemic we are in now,” Gupta told the Financial Times.
In an interview with New York’s James Walsh, Pulitzer-winning infectious disease reporter Laurie
Garrett explained the public-health necessity of antibody tests:
Garrett explained the public-health necessity of antibody tests:
If we can get this antibody test mass-produced — and I know they’re working on it right now — and put it into commercialization really quickly, this could be a game-changer for the whole pandemic.
One of the things we would love to know right now is how many people who have had pneumonia since January were actually COVID cases? Having answers to that question would make a difference on a policy level.
If we were suddenly seeing a surge in hidden pneumonia cases since mid-February, that would tell us we’re in deep, deep doo-doo; that this thing is like Italy; that we’re going to suddenly skyrocket
and our hospitals are going to be overwhelmed.
But if, by contrast, the same number of cases are found in the historic samples going back to the first of January, that would tell us, “Okay, it’s gradually unfolding, we don’t have to go down to lockdown every single person in New York, we may be able to flatten the curve.” And that makes a big difference in terms of how drastic our policies need to be.
Though the Oxford modeling seems promising, like all academic studies reckoning with the coronavirus, it should be read by the public with caution. If antibody tests did not prove the epidemiologists’ best-case findings, the modeling could undercut the success of social distancing
measures that public-health experts consider vital to stopping the spread of the virus.
If it does, however, reveal the necessity of having the proper scale of testing, so that governments can make policy determinations that reflect the actual rates of infection and
hospitalization.
Fundamental principles of epidemic spread highlight the immediate need for large-scale serological surveys to assess the stage of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic PDF 7 Pages
Editor Note
What the above oxford study means is everything you have been hearing in the media about the corona virus cases and death rate predictions have been totally wrong!
It also actually means the Corna Virus case and death rates are probably about the same as the flu virus.
The study is also revealing that possibly half the people in the United States have had the Corona Virus but do not know it!!
It seems the corona virus is similar to the flu.
People sometimes have the flu and don't know it because there symptoms are not indicating they have had the flu.
There are thousands of people in the US that have already had the coron virus just like in the UK.
THIS MEANS THAT ALL THE MEDIA HYPE ABOUT THE CORONA VIRUS DEATH RATES ARE FAKE AND HAVE KILLED THE US ECONOMY BECAUSE OF INVALID CASE AND DEATH STASTICS ABOUT THE COVID-19 VIRUS!
The FAKE news media will hide the true facts now known that only 1 in a thousand will get the corona virus.
UK can now expect only 20,00 deaths.
This means the US will have fewer deaths than the annual FLU in the US.
Even governor como of newyork is saying people may soon be able to go back to work.
What will the national media report? What will your local media report?
Will they report the true facts about the corona virus or continue to report invalid stastics about the corona virus?
The news media will not be able to keep reporting the lies about the corona virus much longer.
SOON PEOPLE WILL START TO GO BACK TO WORK AND THE ECONOMY WILL TAKE OFF AGAIN!
IF THE NATIONAL MEDIA CONTINUES TO REPORT INVALID STATISTICS AND NEWS ABOUT THE CORONA VIRUS IT WILL TAKE LONGER FOR THE US ECONOMY TO ROAR BACK.
IF YOUR LOCAL NEWS MEDIA CONTINUES TO REPORT INVALID STATISTIVS ABOUT THE CORONA VIRUS - IGNORE THEIR INVALID STATISTIV REPORTING ABOUT THE CORONA VIRUS!
THE NATIONAL AND LOCAL NEWS MEDIA REPORTING INVALID STATISTICS ABOUT THE CORONA VIRUS IS WORSE THAN THE CORONA VIRUS ITSELF!!!!!
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BREAKING: Scientist Who Panicked The World Over Coronavirus Walks Back Doomsday Prediction…Epidemic In U.K. Will Peak and Subside In 2-3 Weeks
Mar 26, 2020 BREAKING: Scientist Who Panicked The World Over Coronavirus Walks Back Doomsday Prediction…Epidemic In U.K. Will Peak and Subside In 2-3 Weeks
Neil Ferguson, the scientist who panicked the world with his inflated predictions of doom and gloom over the coronavirus pandemic is walking it back, and the majority of media outlets are ignoring his updated prediction.
Ferguson, who is currently infected with COVID-19, originally predicted that the world would need to go into lockdown for 18+ months, he’s now predicting that the virus will peak and subside within 2-3 weeks.
He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. – more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case bc they were so old and sick.Essentially, what has happened is that estimates of the virus’s transmissibility have increased – which implies that many more people have already gotten it than we realize – which in turn implies it is less dangerous.
Ferguson now predicts that the epidemic in the U.K. will peak and subside within “two to three weeks” – last week’s paper said 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary.
The Federalist reports – British scientist Neil Ferguson ignited the world’s drastic response to the novel Wuhan coronavirus when he published the bombshell report predicting 2.2 million Americans and more than half a million Brits would be killed.
After both the U.S. and U.K. governments effectively shut down their citizens and economies, Ferguson is walking back his doomsday scenarios.
Ferguson’s report from Imperial College, which White House and other officials took seriously, said that if the U.S. and U.K. did not shut down for 18 months, and isolation measures were not taken, “we would expect a peak in mortality (daily deaths) to occur after approximately 3 months.” His “models” showed overflowing hospitals and ICU beds.
“For an uncontrolled epidemic, we predict critical care bed capacity would be exceeded as early as the second week in April, with an eventual peak in ICU or critical care bed demand that is over 30 times greater than the maximum supply in both countries,” the report reads.
Imperial College London reports – Last week, Professor Ferguson’s team published a landmark report, which analyzed the likely impact of multiple public health measures on slowing and suppressing the spread of coronavirus.
The report from the WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling within the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, J-IDEA, recommended more intensive, and socially disruptive interventions to suppress transmission to low levels.
Professor Ferguson, who has been briefing the committee during the outbreak, said that it was clear that the country could not be in lockdown for a year, but wide-scale testing and contact tracing would be required to allow economies to restart.
He said: “The challenge that many countries in the world are dealing with is how we move from an initial intensive lockdown… to something that will have societal effects but will allow the economy to restart.
“That is likely to rely on very large-scale testing and contact tracing.”
Dr. Deborah Birx, the White House coronavirus response coordinator, reportedly said the administration was particularly focused on the Imperial College report’s conclusion that entire households should stay in isolation for 14 days if any member suffered from COVID-19 symptoms.
But after tens of thousands of restaurants, bars, and businesses closed, Ferguson is now retracting his modeling, saying he feels “reasonably confident” our health care system can cope when the predicted peak of the epidemic arrives in a few weeks. Testifying before the U.K.’s parliamentary select committee on science and technology on Wednesday, Ferguson said he now predicts U.K. deaths from the disease will not exceed 20,000 and could be much lower.
