Tuesday, November 8, 2016
Polls can't take into account the corruption, cheating and deception of the democrats and hillary clinton.
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This blog has moved to parrotnewsreport.com/cj (Citizen Journalist real News)
Please visit my new blog with new name.
This blog has moved to parrotnewsreport.com/cj (Citizen Journalist real News)
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The final national poll from the IBD/TIPP, the pollster with the highest rated accuracy the last 3 election cycles predicts a Trump Victory.
2004, 2008 and 2012 IBD outranked Pew, ABC, NBC, Fox news, and Rasmussen among many other pollsters with the top ranking and average margin of error of less than one percent.
Trump Victory #ElectionDay
BREAKING : Most Accurate Poll in Last 3 Election Cycles Predicts Trump Victory #ElectionDay
Breaking News By TruthFeedNews November 7, 2016
The final national poll from the IBD/TIPP, the pollster with the highest rated accuracy the last 3 election cycles predicts a Trump Victory.
2004, 2008 and 2012 IBD outranked Pew, ABC, NBC, Fox news, and Rasmussen among many other pollsters with the top ranking and average margin of error of less than one percent.
In their final poll prior to Election day, IBD/TIPP has Trump ahead 43% to 41% in a nail biter. While winning the popular vote would not in itself guarantee a Trump victory, if IBD / TIPP is once again accurate and Trump has a 2% or greater margin in the popular vote, it would far more likely than not he would also catapult above the 270 electoral votes needed to secure the Presidency.
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What Explains The Wide Range Of Poll Results Between IBD/TIPP And Others?
One of the strangest presidential campaigns in modern U.S. history, the polls in part reflect both the confusion and the division in America.
Trump Holds 2-Point Lead Over Clinton, 45% to 43% As Election Day Arrives: IBD/TIPP Poll
Tracking polls are exactly what they suggest: A reading of likely voters based on near-term data. It says how the election would probably turn out, based on that day's data gathering. It is not a prediction.
IBD/TIPP is fairly transparent. The typical poll is intended to have between 750 and 900 respondents, a random sample of registered voters. Those are then further winnowed by identifying likely voters, as opposed to just registered voters, through both targeted questions and demographics of the respondents.
TechnoMetrica, IBD's polling company, conducts the survey by telephone. It uses both landline and cellphones, with about 35% coming from landlines and 65% coming from cellphones. All of the interviews are done live — no "robocalls" or other dodgy techniques that might bias the outcome.
The numbers are not reported raw. They are adjusted to match the presumed registration percentages of the political parties. That way no party is systematically underrepresented. The same is done for race, gender, region, and party affiliation.
This ensures a more accurate end result than simply relying on raw poll responses. On party affiliation, the presumed mix is as follows: Democrats 37% of likely voters; Republicans a bit over 29%; and independents at 34%.
In the end, that latter category may be key. IBD/TIPP in its latest poll has Trump ahead among independents and "other" by 41% to 32%. That's much wider than most other polls, and one possible explanation for why the poll differs from others.
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My comments:
(Polls can't take into account the corruption, cheating and deception of the democrates and hillary clinton. She will scratch and screech like a wild cat to try to steal the election. This alone will contribute to more votes for her but of course, fraudulent/dishonest vote counts.
Will hillary's and her corrupt campaign be able to steal the election results?
Only time will tell. In about 15 hours we should begin to know.
Look for hillary to possibly lead in early results because of corruption reporting of voting and the state run national news media aiding and abetting her efforts to win the election by FRAUD.)
I still predict Donald Trump will win the presidential election despite all of the efforts of corruption and voter fraud by hillary.)
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