Sunday, June 6, 2010

Nikki Haley Still Strongly Favored In Poll

From Public Policy Polling Raleigh, N.C.

Nikki Haley For Governor

Public Policy Polling

Nikki Haley hasn’t suffered any damage whatsoever after accusations of multiple extramarital affairs and is headed for an easy first place finish in Tuesday’s Republican primary for Governor of South Carolina.

Haley has a 20 point lead, getting 43% of the vote. Gresham Barrett looks like the favorite for the second runoff spot. He’s at 23%, followed by Henry McMaster at 16%, and Andre Bauer at 12%.

Raleigh, N.C. – Nikki Haley had a 20 point lead in her bid for the Republican Gubernatorial nomination in South Carolina two weeks ago before allegations of an extramarital affair surfaced. Only 13% of likely primary voters believe the charges that have been lobbed against her and she continues to hold that 20 point lead heading into the final couple days of the campaign.

A first place finish for Haley Tuesday appears to be a near certainty. She’s at 43% to 23% for Gresham Barrett, 16% for Henry McMaster, and 12% for Andre Bauer. There’s probably a better chance of her avoiding a runoff on Tuesday than not finishing first unless something crazy happens to shake up the race in the final 24 hours. 54% of primary voters flatly do not believe the rumors about Haley. 33% aren’t sure and only 13% come right out and say they think they’re true. The numbers do suggest serious consequences for Haley if they are proven though- 42% of voters think she should drop out of the race in that scenario.

Haley’s favorability was a net +34 on our poll two weeks ago and it now stands at a net +35 (58/23). The person who’s really had a good couple of weeks is Gresham Barrett. His favorability has improved from +10 to +25 (44/19) and he’s emerged as the clear frontrunner for the second runoff spot, with his support going from 16% to 23%.

In the 4th Congressional District six term Congressman Bob Inglis looks to be headed to a runoff with challenger Trey Gowdy, who leads the incumbent 37-33. “Nikki Haley’s in good shape,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “Her campaign has deflected the allegations against her well and so far she hasn’t suffered any political damage in the wake of them.”

PPP did not survey the Democratic primary for Governor on this poll. PPP surveyed 998 likely South Carolina Republican primary voters including 300 in the 4th Congressional District on June 5th and 6th. The margin of error on the overall sample is +/-3.1% and for the 4th district subsample is +/-5.7%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify.

Haley's support is pretty universal. She gets 43% with both moderates and conservatives, 45% in the Low Country, 44% in the Midlands, and 40% in the Upstate. At this point the chances of her winning an outright majority and avoiding a runoff appear to be better than the ones of her not finishing first.

(Vote the good ole boys republican or democrate out of office if they are doing business as usual. Vote all liberals and moderates out just because they are moderates and liberals. Vote conservatives in if they are the real deal and not RINO's.) Story Reports


TellerIP said...

First, Obama WAS born in Hawaii, as his official birth certificate from Hawaii shows, and the facts on that document were confirmed twice by the officials in Hawaii, and there is even a witness who recalls being told of his birth in Hawaii in 1961, and Obama's Kenyan grandmother said that he was born in HAWAII.

Second, every US citizen who was born in the USA is a Natural Born Citizen. The citizenship of the parents has no effect. The original meaning of Natural Born was simply "born in the country with the exception of the children of foreign diplomats."

That is why such prominent conservative Senators who are also lawyers as Orren Hatch and Lindsay Graham say that a Natural Born Citizen is simply one who was born in the USA:

Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC), said:

“Every child born in the United States is a natural-born United States citizen except for the children of diplomats.” (December 11, 2008 letter to constituent)

Senator Orrin G. Hatch (R-UT), said:

“What is a natural born citizen? Clearly, someone born within the United States or one of its territories is a natural born citizen.” (Senate Judiciary Committee hearing hearing on OCTOBER 5, 2004)

Story Reports said...

This is why I think TellerIP is a obot that responds almost the same way no matter what the topic is.

In this post I did not mention obama at all yet tellerip comments on obama's birth certificate.

No only does tellerip not read what it comments on tellerip does not back up what it says with documented facts as I do.

Tellerip you could be a senator or congressman also because some in congress admit they don't read what they comment on.

Obama also comments on what he has not read or understands.

Obama is a baffoon when it comes to thinking on his feet.

It seems many of obama's supporters reflect his level of knowledge also!

TellerIP said...

The first page of the blog discusses Natural Born Citizenship. It alleges that a person must be both born in the USA and have two US citizen parents to be a Natural Born Citizen.

This is false. Every US citizen who was born in America is a Natural Born Citizen.

“Natural born citizen. Persons who are born within the jurisdiction of a national government, i.e. in its territorial limits, or those born of citizens temporarily residing abroad.” — Black’s Law Dictionary, Sixth Edition